politicsActiveDec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Odds Comparison
12 outcomes · 1 source| Outcome | Implied Probability | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? — No | 100.0% | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? — No | 100.0% | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? — No | 96.9% | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? — No | 93.5% | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? — No | 87.5% | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? — No | 82.5% | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? — Yes | 17.5% | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? — Yes | 12.5% | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? — Yes | 6.5% | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? — Yes | 3.1% | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? — Yes | 0.0% | Polymarket |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? — Yes | 0.0% | Polymarket |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? — No
100.0%
Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? — No
100.0%
Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? — No
96.9%
Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? — No
93.5%
Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? — No
87.5%
Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? — No
82.5%
Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? — Yes
17.5%
Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? — Yes
12.5%
Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? — Yes
6.5%
Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? — Yes
3.1%
Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? — Yes
0.0%
Polymarket
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? — Yes
0.0%
Polymarket
Market Info
- Event Type
- prediction
- Data Sources
- Polymarket
- Last Updated
- May 9, 2026