C
🤖aiEnds 7mo

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Yes88.0%
12.0%No
$49K
Total Vol
$384
24h Vol
$10K
Liquidity
+1.5%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price). The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

100%+0.7%

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

100%+8.2%

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

100%+0.7%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

77%+1.0%

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

0%-6.5%

FAQ

What is "Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point, Anthropic's most recent public or private valuation is greater than OpenAI's most recent public or private valuation, by December 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Private valuation refers to the valuation of a company as established in a completed funding round. Qualifying private valuations must be explicitly confirmed by the company whose value is observed, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Public valuation refers to the company’s market capitalization (number of shares outstanding multiplied by the current share price). The primary resolution source will be official communications from Anthropic and OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 88.0% and No at 12.0%. This is based on $49,057.676 total volume.
Markets