📈economyEnds 7mo
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Yes24.5%
75.5%No
$10K
Total Vol
$102
24h Vol
$5K
Liquidity
+1.5%
24h Change
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
FAQ
What is "Another US debt downgrade before 2027?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 24.5% and No at 75.5%. This is based on $9,834.918 total volume.