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Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Yes8.5%
91.5%No
$2K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$1K
Liquidity
—
24h Change
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
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FAQ
What is "Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 8.5% and No at 91.5%. This is based on $1,992.228 total volume.