₿cryptoEnds 7mo
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Yes16.5%
83.5%No
$1.8M
Total Vol
$59K
24h Vol
$96K
Liquidity
-4.0%
24h Change
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Related Markets
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Will Pau Cubarsí be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
FAQ
What is "Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 16.5% and No at 83.5%. This is based on $1,805,442.4 total volume.